A sudden disruption to that chain can be enough to cause serious operational challenges. In fact, in some cases, it could be the catalyst for a major financial issue and even result in insolvency.
Most business owners are focused on sales and revenue. This is very much how it should be. We repeatedly advise people to know their numbers and keep a close watch on the cashflow. Everyone appreciates that the sales must happen to keep the money coming in. However, we often also see insolvencies that were less a result of poor sales and more a result of not being able to meet demand due to supply issues.
For many businesses, particularly those involved with highly specialised areas and a significant number of the 5.5 million SMEs, the supply chain often comprises a limited number of suppliers. In some cases, a business may rely heavily on just one key supplier for essential components or inventory. This creates a single point of failure—a solitary vulnerability in a business that is enough to result in catastrophic financial collapse. That may sound overly dramatic, but some very profitable and thriving businesses find themselves in insolvency because of it.
I do a lot of network events, and I’m a regular speaker on the causes of insolvency. While the businesspeople in the room are usually well aware of the sales end of the process, fewer have given as much thought to the supply chain. When it does get raised, I hear a lot of ‘oh, my supplier is absolutely reliable’ responses. OK, you are probably right, but what if that changed?
So, my question is a simple one. If your major supplier stopped supplying, or one of your key component suppliers vanished, how long could you survive as a business?
There are a variety of reasons a supplier may suddenly change focus or vanish entirely:
Insolvency: Suppliers are no more immune to financial difficulties than anyone else and could suddenly, from your perspective, become insolvent. When this happens, they are very likely to cease trading immediately for legal reasons.
Increased demand from other customers: If a supplier receives larger orders from a more profitable customer, they may need to refuse orders from smaller accounts or even terminate them altogether. Not every business can scale instantly to meet demand. Think back to the pandemic and all the shortages that suddenly appeared while businesses adjusted to the lockdowns.
Supplier retirement or business closure: Many small UK-based suppliers are family-run businesses. If the owner retires, or becomes ill, without succession planning in place, the business may simply close. It isn’t unusual for a Members Voluntary Liquidation to take some time to go through which may give you some breathing space, but it won’t be for long.
Pivoting to new products: Has your business ever needed to pivot away from a product or service? Well, the same may be true of your suppliers.
Better money elsewhere: Many suppliers are involved in more than one product. The hard business truth is that some of those will be more profitable than others, and sometimes that leads to discontinuation.
These are just the main reasons why a supplier could suddenly stop being part of your supply chain. In all these circumstances, the first you hear about it could be when you try to place an order.
It’s a pretty difficult market out there right now in many industries. Margin is everything, and intermediary businesses absorb a significant chunk of the profit between supplier and end user. It’s not unknown for a supplier to choose to bypass resellers or intermediaries by selling directly to customers. In fairness to them, vertical integration, where a manufacturer takes control of two or more key supply stages of the route to market, makes financial sense in many ways. Sadly, it can also result in resellers suddenly being cut out of how products reach the market. What benefits the manufacturer is financially ruinous to the reseller.
E-commerce businesses, such as those selling on platforms like Amazon or eBay, are vulnerable to supply chain changes in general and specifically because of vertical integration. These businesses often compete on thin margins and depend on inexpensive imported goods. A sudden shift in supply or the arrival of low-cost competitors selling the same or similar products can undercut your pricing strategy overnight.
Additionally, Amazon’s own fulfilment service (FBA) allows overseas manufacturers to ship directly to consumers. This bypasses UK-based sellers and intensifies competition. Essentially, you can easily end up trying to compete against your own suppliers or the manufacturers of similar ones… and they have more margin than you to play with. It becomes a war of attrition that, frankly, they will soon win.
When a key supplier disappears, the effects on your business will almost certainly be immediate. Your financial wellbeing then topples like dominoes.
Without stocks of goods or a secure supply of those essential components, you cannot fulfil customer orders. That creates a cashflow crisis when the sales dry up and overheads such as rent, wages, and utilities continue. Even if you manage to keep going, delays in delivery and unfulfilled customer expectations can damage your reputation. This is difficult to recover from and may have long-term consequences on customer loyalty. Not only that, but businesses may find themselves in breach of contract if they fail to deliver goods or services on time, potentially leading to penalties, legal disputes, and further financial loss.
It's remarkable how a part of your supply chain, that single point failure we mentioned earlier, can escalate into a full-scale financial crisis that results in insolvency.
Overconfidence in your current setup is one of the most common business mistakes. Play safe and assume that supply chains that have functioned perfectly for years can unravel rapidly. We suggest you regularly stress-test your resilience to supply problems and always maintain a set of viable contingency plans.
Here are a few practical steps to consider:
Diversify suppliers: Don’t rely on one supplier for your most important components or products. It seems like this is an obvious action, but we see sole supply issues a lot in insolvencies.
Maintain a buffer stock: Where feasible, hold a small amount of safety stock to cushion against short-term disruptions. You need to base this on how long you would need to switch suppliers and what your bills are going to be for that period of time.
Understand your supplier: Monitor your key suppliers for their financial health. If the ownership structure changes, for example, a buy out or buy in by new directors, keep a close eye on what is happening because of it.
Have a contingency plan: Run scenarios around what would happen if a major supplier failed. Who can you call? What alternative suppliers are available? Would you inform customers, and what about stakeholders?
Protect cash flow: Work on modelling potential financial scenarios. This will help you understand your exposure and prepare accordingly. Knowing your numbers can make the difference between survival and insolvency.
Anticipate the potential for change: From insolvency and retirement to competitive threats and global issues, the risks are varied and often unpredictable. For example, you only need to look at the problems in supply caused by the events in the Ukraine or the red tape post Brexit to see how fragile shipping can be. Neither were expected and neither could be avoided. Could you survive even a few days delay in your supply chain if something similar affected your business?
No company can afford to take its supply chain for granted. Ensuring a secure and flexible supply chain is not just good practice; it’s essential to financial stability and long-term survival. So, yes, always keep vigilant when it comes to sales and revenue, but don’t forget the other end of the chain, or it could result in real problems.
The purpose of Debt Awareness Week is to encourage open conversations about financial struggles and provide ... more
Charities and other third sector organisations are just as susceptible to insolvency as private companies. ... more
With what looks like a very difficult time ahead, reviewing your credit control now could be the difference between ... more
When a long-standing business is closed under an MVL, retirement is far and away the most common reason. Closing ... more
In October last year, a budget was delivered that will have repercussions for business throughout the coming year. ... more
When you are faced with business disagreements over payments, contracts, or other areas such as the management of ... more
Sadly, organisations that come under the Co-operative and Community Benefit Societies Act 2014, are just as prone ... more
Capital Gains Tax and Entrepreneurs Relief – A change as we predicted. In our previous blog , we looked ... more
The Autumn budget wasn't exactly a friendly one for SMEs. Whether it will lead to more insolvencies and financial ... more
There was a relatively large rise in the number of Joint and Several Liability (JSL) Notices in the last year. ... more
According to recent data from the Insolvency Service, the construction sector remains one of the industry areas ... more
According to Charity Debt Justice, around 6.7 million people in the UK are considered to be in financial ... more
In the run-up to the election, the current government made some very clear promises that could have quite an effect ... more
There is always bound to be a question about when it is the right time to push the button on a member's Voluntary ... more
When you are responsible for a business that is facing insolvency, or potentially facing personal financial issues ... more
Here we go again. The election is ramping up and the media are dissecting every statement and promise in search of ... more
What happened between John Barnes Media Limited and HMRC? According to the Insolvency Service news, John Barnes ... more
One of the actions taken during an insolvency is for the company assets to be sold to help pay debts. This is ... more
The politics of a budget are not really in our area of interest, to be honest. The motivations behind decisions ... more
There have been a couple of dramatic looking statistics about company closures and recessive economies recently. ... more
HMRC have issued an update to how Members Voluntary Liquidations (MVLs) are processed. The change is quite a shift ... more
According to the Office of National Statistics (ONS), retail sales fell 3.2% in December 2023. With a harsh outlook ... more
Christmas is around the corner, and the last bell is about to ring for 2023, so it’s a good time to sit back ... more
We are all aware that a business can become insolvent - but what about the over 168,000 charities currently ... more
This year the Autumn statement was a bit of a mixed bag for business and individuals. National insurance giveaways ... more
Do personal finances impact business finances? When you run a business, one of the first things any of your ... more
The jump in insolvencies in September follows a similar increase in August. However, there was a drop in July. So ... more
Bankruptcy and insolvency are not the same thing, but they are closely related. Maybe that is why they are ... more
Economic sunshine and showers. We have gotten used to having a more Mediterranean style summer in the last few ... more
It often still comes as a surprise to directors when they learn that they can claim redundancy. If you meet the ... more
Does being local matter? After all, insolvency is about logic and process, isn’t it? To answer that ... more
Warning: Insolvency Service ... more
The recent budget may well have not been much of a shake up for the economy but it did contain some things to need ... more
Can I be disqualified as a director over a Bounce Back Loan? Let’s deal with the big questions first. In ... more
What happened with Capital Gains Tax and MVLs? To be clear from the outset if you are thinking of closing your ... more
A year of financial white water 2022 started with a lot of hope, didn’t it? By the end of January Covid ... more
What’s going on in Hospitality? You cannot help but feel for pubs, restaurants, and other venues. It must ... more
It isn’t unusual that a director of a company will have an outstanding director’s loan account. If that ... more
What makes a good Insolvency Practitioner? There are some fundamental skills and experience that should really ... more
What does ‘intent to appoint administrators’ mean? If you have been keeping up with the news ... more
Green, amber, and red lights of insolvency If we were to make a list of things that directors usually tell us ... more
How bad are things for business? You can’t help but notice that the economic news is pretty grim at the ... more
Personal guarantees can be a problem when a business becomes insolvent, and directors are often concerned about ... more
What happened to the insolvency crisis? Back in what now feels like aeons ago during 2021, there were rumblings ... more
The cost of business crisis. Without knowing your expenditure, it is almost impossible to make a sound judgement ... more
The importance of honesty. There is nothing the press likes more than a celebrity scandal and former Wimbledon ... more
You have probably seen various stories in the press about Directors of businesses being caught out because they ... more
Why do people consider a Members Voluntary Liquidation? Unlike insolvency, which is driven purely by financial ... more
When the insolvency legislation was temporarily changed during the pandemic, I suspect there was a widespread sigh ... more
I heard a wonderful phrase to describe the current situation the other day. Someone said they would be glad when ... more
If you run a business and don’t currently have cashflow planning at the top of your agenda, you probably ... more
Yes, for those of you that watched ‘Game of Thrones’ you will appreciate that this is the threat of bad ... more
As you will appreciate, during the pandemic HMRC has been very busy dealing with the various support schemes, ... more
Companies in financial distress as a result of the pandemic have been protected from creditor action since last ... more
When a Company fails it is quite common that directors are excused of Wrongful or Insolvent trading. Wrongful ... more
This is the fourth time I have written about the Government extensions of the insolvency provisions brought in ... more
I the first of these BBL articles we looked at your options if you are struggling to pay your Bounce Back Loan ... more
Bounce Back Loans are becoming a big problem area and we may only be scratching the surface of the impact they may ... more
The Government has announced a new scheme to help individuals with debt problems. The scheme is described as ... more
First of all, it is fair to say this blog is very technical and probably more for our professional contacts, so if ... more
The Insolvency Service produces monthly figures for both corporate and personal insolvencies and as mentioned ... more
The answer to the question ‘when is a good time to close your solvent business’ is never an easy one. ... more
Why Groundhog Day you ask? Over the last 12 months, I have posted about various Governments measures brought in ... more
Believe it or not, it has been almost 12 months since businesses in the UK were first given an answer to the ... more
Like most people, I get several excellent emails and budget summaries every year and I would guess you do too. ... more
The Insolvency Service produce monthly figures for both corporate and personal insolvencies and to be honest I ... more
If you have been reading our blogs or social media recently you will probably have noticed that we are very busy at ... more
I am already on the third draft of this blog. Every time I managed to get pen to paper the Covid situation or ... more
Over the last few days, a number of extensions have been announced which it is hoped to assist business affected by ... more
There is no such thing as a simple way to close a business. Whether it is an administration or a liquidation, the ... more
Up until the early 2000s HMRC were a preferential creditor in cases of insolvency. When this changed in 2003 it was ... more
The Government has announced that new rules will be brought into legislation as soon as possible. The following was ... more
UPDATED 26 NOVEMBER 2020 The Government has announced extensions to previous temporary measures relating to ... more
There is a potential situation arising that could soon be causing some insolvency related issues, cashflow problems ... more
Insolvency legislation rarely makes the news which is probably why one of the biggest changes to the way it works ... more
This is a very common problem in insolvency and here is the reason why!! At some stage, a director of a new ... more
Why then are we bothering to dedicate a full article and video to cashflow forecasts if they are so common? Well, ... more
The initial shock of the lockdown. When the government announced the Coronavirus lockdown our telephone began to ... more
What happens when you reach out to an Insolvency Practitioner? I doubt any business owner ... more
One of the major aspects of any insolvency is what will happen to the employees. Any news story in relation to an ... more
Find out more about how we can support you when times are tough. We’re here to help with clear, straightforward support.
Call us on 0116 2325117 (Leicester), 01926 671891 (Warwick), 02476017639 (Coventry), 01604 263179 (Northampton) or email us at info@smartbusinessrecovery.co.uk